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Australian regulator flags rising private credit risks and tightens oversight

Australia’s financial watchdog Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has warned that private credit exposures linked to global market conditions are increasing, prompting a ramp-up in supervisory scrutiny across banks, insurers and superannuation funds, according to a report by Bloomberg.

In its latest industry update, APRA said that while Australia’s domestic private credit market remains relatively small, institutions are increasingly exposed to offshore developments through interconnected lending channels and global capital flows. The regulator noted that geopolitical instability, rapid advances in artificial intelligence, and broader complexity in financial markets are reshaping systemic risk considerations.

APRA Chair John Lonsdale highlighted particular concern around the speed of AI adoption outpacing risk-management frameworks, alongside macroeconomic spillovers from geopolitical tensions, including conflicts in the Middle East. These factors, the regulator said, are contributing to a more challenging risk environment for financial institutions.

The warning comes as Australian banks increase provisioning in response to global uncertainty. Major lenders, including Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank, Westpac and ANZ Group, have collectively raised hundreds of millions of Australian dollars in loan-loss buffers linked in part to geopolitical risks.

Despite these headwinds, APRA maintained that the Australian financial system remains resilient, citing strong liquidity positions across banks and insurers and stress tests indicating the sector could withstand severe but plausible economic shocks.

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