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APAC deal activity falls 11% in first seven months amid PE and M&A retreat

Deal-making across Asia-Pacific slowed sharply in the first seven months of 2026, with the combined number of M&A, private equity and venture capital transactions falling 11% year-on-year, according to GlobalData.

The decline points to a more cautious investment environment as tighter financing conditions, uncertainty over earnings and concerns around exit prospects prompt companies and investors to become more selective.

Aurojyoti Bose, lead analyst at GlobalData, said the contraction reflected a broader shift towards greater deal discipline, with investors and corporates seeking clearer visibility on future earnings and potential exit routes before committing capital.

M&A was the main source of weakness. The number of announced transactions dropped 22% from a year earlier between January and July, while private equity deal volume fell 25%.

Venture capital provided a partial counterweight, with deal numbers increasing 3% over the same period. The relative resilience of VC activity suggests investors continue to back selected growth and innovation themes, albeit with greater scrutiny over valuations and business fundamentals.

Bose said the divergence between deal types reflected a shift in the way risk capital is being deployed.

Lower M&A activity suggests corporate buyers are delaying acquisitions while concentrating on existing operations, while the decline in private equity transactions highlights continued pressure on leveraged buyout economics and longer due-diligence processes.

Performance varied significantly across individual APAC markets.

China was among the strongest performers, with deal activity rising 6% year-on-year. India also recorded modest growth of 1%, making both markets relative bright spots against the wider regional decline.

Japan was the biggest drag on the region, with transaction volume plunging 38%.

Australia, South Korea and Singapore also recorded double-digit declines, underscoring the breadth of the slowdown across major APAC markets.

GlobalData said the figures pointed to a broad recalibration in corporate deal-making rather than weakness concentrated in a single market or transaction type.

For private equity investors, the decline in activity reflects the continued challenge of financing acquisitions at attractive returns in a higher-cost capital environment. Longer holding periods and greater scrutiny of leverage and exit assumptions are also weighing on new investment.

While the resilience of venture capital and growth markets in China and India provides some support, the overall data suggests APAC deal-makers remain focused on selectivity and capital discipline as they navigate a more uncertain market.

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