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Japan set for record year in take-private activity

Private equity-led take-private transactions in Japan are on track to hit record levels in 2025, with deal volume expected to surpass the $40.3bn recorded in 2023, despite subdued global deal activity, according to a report by Reuters.

The uptick reflects growing pressure on listed companies to enhance capital efficiency, amid rising shareholder activism and regulatory reforms led by the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE).

Once viewed with scepticism, private equity is now increasingly seen as a strategic partner by Japanese corporates. A combination of governance reforms, calls to unwind cross-shareholdings, and low valuations has encouraged management teams to explore delisting and restructuring opportunities away from the scrutiny of public markets.

Private equity-backed buyouts totalled $27.6bn in Japan year-to-date through 20 August, nearly tripling the $9.5bn seen over the same period in 2024, according to data from Dealogic. This surge comes at a time when global deal activity remains subdued, underscoring Japan’s rising prominence as a private equity market.

Recent headline transactions include Blackstone’s $3.5bn acquisition proposal for engineering staffing group TechnoPro, and EQT’s $2.7bn bid for elevator manufacturer Fujitec. These deals reflect a growing willingness among corporates to engage with private equity prior to becoming targets of activist campaigns.

TSE governance reforms have also played a pivotal role in accelerating M&A activity. By tightening listing standards and encouraging companies to improve return on equity, the exchange has prompted a wave of strategic reviews, including asset divestitures, share buybacks, and management-led buyouts.

Increased activist activity, often seen as a precursor to a go-private transaction, has further fuelled investor interest. However, speculation around potential targets has led to elevated share prices, complicating transaction execution in some cases. In response, corporates are increasingly initiating discussions with private equity sponsors pre-emptively, viewing privatisation as a viable strategic path.

According to industry sources, nearly half of ongoing dialogues between funds and corporates are now initiated by company leadership, with many seeking to restructure outside the public eye. For sponsors, Japan’s mature capital markets and exit optionality via relistings, trade sales, or sponsor-to-sponsor transactions are contributing to heightened deployment activity.

With significant dry powder and deepening local relationships, private equity firms continue to strengthen their foothold in Japan, positioning the market as a global outlier in an otherwise subdued deal environment.

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